HighLights in the Week of July 20, 2015


Dear PGM Capital Blog readers,

In this weekend’s blog edition we want to discuss some of the most important events that happened in the global capital markets, the world economy and the world of money in the week of July 20, 2015:

  • Bad start of earnings season Q2-2015
  • DOW Jones Down YTD
  • Gold falls below US$ 1,100.00 a Troy Ounce

The stock market’s reaction to a heavy week of earnings reports was not encouraging.

Last week’s stock trading featured a few winners but there were more losers as declining stocks swamped the advancing ones by a 4-1 margin. Some of the losers like Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) are large multinational companies that have been hurt by the stronger dollar and the resulting weakness in their overseas business.

Below a list of stocks and blue chips that were hit hard last week:

  • Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) where shares were down 7% at US$121.63 after it reported earnings on Tuesday, July 21st.
    260715-Apple Week July 20
  • Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UTX) reported a 10% drop in elevator orders from China and it’s stock was down 10% for the week.
    260715-UTX Week July 20
  • IBM Inc (NYSE: IBM) shares fell in the week of July 20, from US$ 172.57 to US$ 159.75 a share, –US$ 12.82 or 7.4%, after the company reported its second-quarter earnings fell 17% as the technology giant posted its 13th straight quarter of year-over-year revenue declines.
    260715-IBM Week July 20

U.S. stocks fell for the fourth straight session on Friday, leaving indexes with the biggest weekly losses in months.

Over the past week, investors sold stocks as disappointing earnings results from companies such as Apple Inc., Caterpillar, United Technology and IBM  as well as a dramatic sell-off in commodities, brought back concerns over a slowing growth in global economy.

  • The S&P 500 closed 22.50 points, or 1.1%, lower at 2,079.65, booking a 2.2% weekly loss. The weekly decline for the benchmark was the steepest since March.

    260715-S&P 500 Week July 20
    Among the S&P 500 sectors, materials stocks were hit the hardest, with the sector falling 5.5% over the week, while the energy sector booked a 4.1% loss.
  • The Nasdaq Composite dropped 57.78 points, or 1.1%, to 5,088.63, ending the week with a 2.3% weekly loss.
    260715-S&P 500 Week July 20
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average, dropped 163.39 points, or 0.9%, to 17,568.53, recording a 2.9% weekly loss.
    260715-DOW week july 20

Investors also grappled with a housing report that showed sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. dropped to the slowest pace in seven months, suggesting the U.S. housing market may not be firing on all cylinders.

Gold fell more than 1 percent to a five-year low on Wednesday as a bounce in the dollar fueled downside momentum, with investors continuing to pull away from the metal after its dramatic slide earlier this week.

A looming increase in U.S. interest rates, the first in nearly a decade, has diminished gold’s appeal to investors, encouraging more sellers in the market after Monday’s 3 percent rout, the biggest one-day drop since September 2013.

As can be seen from below chart Spot gold hit the lowest since February 2010 at US$1,078.24 an ounce on Friday, July 24 at noon for it to rebound with 0.5 percent, to close at US$1,096.29.

Screen Shot 2015-07-26 at 2.54.41 PM

The above shows that although it closed below the psychological important level of US$ 1,100.00 per Troy ounce, it was only down with approx. 1.00%  last week.

Corporate earnings in the USA are being hurt by the high US-Dollar, while on the other-side the positive impact of lower oil prices has not materialized.

In the meantime oil prices continued to decline as West Texas Intermediate crude closed 0.72% lower to US$48.88 a barrel and down 5.4% for the week as can be seen from below chart.

260715-WTI week July 20

Prices dropped after the total number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil climbed 21 to 659 over the week, according to Baker Hughes. Crude took a dive last week after six world powers agreed to a nuclear deal with Iran that would lead to Iranian oil on global markets.

USA Stocks by extended losses in the final hour of trading Friday, pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average into negative territory for the year as can be seen from below chart.

260715-DOW YTD July 24 2015

The USA-media is blaming the Greece woes in the Euro-zone and the slowdown in China the decline of global demand for commodities and USA produced goods, and subsequent the decline in earnings for USA Companies.

How ever below chats of the German DAX-30 and China CSI-300, shows that both index are in the green YTD.


260715-DAX YTD July 24 2015

Germany’s DAX Index performance Year-To-Date

260715-China CSI-300 YTD July 24 2015

China’s CSI-300 Index, performance Year-To-Date

Beside this it is also worth mentioning that the Euro, was up in the week of July 20, as can be seen from below chart.

260715-Euro - USD week july 20

Last but not least, when analysing market behaviour, always remember below quote of John Maynard Keynes;
Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
Secondly before taking any investment advise, always take your investment horizon and risk tolerance into consideration.
Thirdly, remember that we currently are living in the age of turbulence which is very volatile and that sharp corrections may happen at a sudden.

Until next week.

Yours sincerely,

Suriname Times foto

Eric Panneflek

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